Maine Poll Shows Biden Leading Trump, GOP Senator Collins Race Close

A ballot launched on Monday by left-leaning Public Coverage Polling (PPP) reveals presumptive Democratic Celebration nominee Joe Biden main President Trump by 11 factors, 53 % to 42 %, in Maine.

Notably, that very same ballot reveals the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate, Sara Gideon with only a four-point lead over incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME), 46 % to 42 %. Taking Collins’s Maine Senate seat out of the Republican column and placing it into the Democratic column is taken into account one of many lynchpins of the Democratic Celebration’s 2020 election efforts to retake the bulk within the U.S. Senate.

Democrats supported Gideon by a 79 % to 13 % margin. Republicans supported Collins by a 76 % to eight % margin. Independents had been evenly break up, with 44 % backing every candidate.

Ladies supported Gideon by a 49 % to 39 % margin. Males supported Collins by a 46 % to 43 % margin.

PPP has a fame of framing the questions in polls and organizing the respondent samples to advance a story supporting a progressive political agenda. Provided that fame, the truth that Gideon is working 11 factors behind Biden and Collins is working 4 factors forward of Trump within the PPP ballot launched on Monday means that Gideon can have a a lot more durable time unseating Collins than Democratic Celebration officers had hoped.

The one different ballot of the Maine 2020 Senate race match up within the Actual Clear Politics Common of Polls was performed by Colby School in February. That ballot gave Gideon a one-point lead over Collins, which was inside that ballot’s three.2 % margin of error.

First elected to the Senate in 1996, Collins was reelected in 2014 by a margin of 37 share factors.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton defeated Donald Trump in Maine by a margin of three factors, 48 % to 45 %, however took solely three of the state’s 4 electoral school votes. Maine and Nebraska are the one two states that don’t award all of their electoral school votes to the general in style vote winner within the state.

Maine awards two electoral school votes to the statewide in style vote winner of the presidential contest, one electoral school vote to the winner of the favored vote within the state’s First Congressional District and one electoral school vote to the winner of the favored vote within the state’s Second Congressional District. As a result of its small inhabitants, Maine solely has two congressional districts.

Hillary Clinton received the favored vote in Maine’s First Congressional District in 2016 by 14 share factors and acquired that district’s one electoral school vote, giving her three of the state’s 4 electoral school votes. Donald Trump received the favored vote in Maine’s Second Congressional District that 12 months by ten share factors and acquired that district’s one electoral school vote, giving him one of many state’s 4 electoral school votes.

PPP is the one agency within the Actual Clear Politics Common of Polls that has polled the presidential matchup in Maine over the previous 12 months. The ballot outcomes launched on Monday are nearly the identical as two earlier PPP polls. One performed in March 2020 gave Biden a ten-point lead over Trump, one other performed in October 2019 gave Biden a 12-point lead over Trump.

The questions within the ballot launched on Monday are in line with PPP’s fame for utilizing polling as a option to set up a political narrative for the progressive agenda.

Amongst these questions and responses had been the next:

When requested, “Do you assume Donald Trump ought to have been impeached and faraway from workplace, or not?” 51 % of respondents stated sure, whereas 44 % stated no.

Eighty-four % of Democrats stated sure, whereas 11 % stated no. Ten % of Republicans stated sure, whereas 88 % stated no. Amongst independents, 50 % stated sure whereas 42 % stated no.

The ballot additionally requested a query framed negatively round Collins however included no such query about Gideon.

When requested, “Do you assume Susan Collins is extra an impartial voice for Maine or a partisan voice for Donald Trump and Mitch McConnell?” 46 % of respondents stated she was a partisan voice for Trump and McConnell, whereas 42 % stated she was an impartial voice for Maine.

The survey of 1,022 registered voters in Maine was performed between July 2 and July three and has a three.1 % margin of error. Thirty-eight % of ballot respondents self-identified as Republican, 30 % as Democrats, and 28 % as independents.

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